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Arditi, D and Balci, G (2009) Managerial Competencies of Female and Male Construction Managers. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1275–8.
Cable, J K, Jaselskis, E J, Walters, R C, Li, L and Bauer, C R (2009) Stringless Portland Cement Concrete Paving. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1253–60.
Caerteling, J S, Halman, J I M, Song, M and Dorée, A G (2009) Impact of Government and Corporate Strategy on the Performance of Technology Projects in Road Construction. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1211–21.
Chan, A P C, Chan, D W M and Yeung, J F Y (2009) Overview of the Application of “Fuzzy Techniques” in Construction Management Research. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1241–52.
Chan, A P C, Lam, P T I, Chan, D W M, Cheung, E and Ke, Y (2009) Drivers for Adopting Public Private Partnerships—Empirical Comparison between China and Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1115–24.
Chen, C and Orr, R J (2009) Chinese Contractors in Africa: Home Government Support, Coordination Mechanisms, and Market Entry Strategies. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1201–10.
Chen, H L (2009) Model for Predicting Financial Performance of Development and Construction Corporations. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1190–200.
- Type: Journal Article
- Keywords: Financial factors; Forecasting; Models; Time series analysis; Construction companies;
- ISBN/ISSN: 0733-9364
- URL: https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CO.1943-7862.0000077
- Abstract:
Performance forecasting is central to aligning an organization’s operations with its strategic direction. Despite the panoply of approaches to performance predictions, relatively few published studies address model development of financial performance predictions for the construction industry. By analyzing the preceding relationship between financial and economic variables and financial performance, this paper proposes an innovative approach to predicting firm financial performance. First, hypothesis tests using data for 42 development and construction corporations listed in the construction sector of the Taiwan Stock Exchange between 1997 Q1 and 2006 Q4 uncover useful relationships between financial performance and financial and economic variables. Second, based on these relationships, a three-stage mathematical modeling procedure is used for cross-sectional model estimation, which is subsequently refined to create firm-specific financial performance-forecasting models for four sample firms. The out-of-sample forecasting accuracy is evaluated using mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The results show that the cross-sectional model explains 78.9% of the variation in the cross-sectional performance data, and the MAPE values in the forecasting models range from 9.54 to 19.69%.
El-Rayes, K and Jun, D H (2009) Optimizing Resource Leveling in Construction Projects. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1172–80.
Goh, Y M and Chua, D K H (2009) Case-Based Reasoning for Construction Hazard Identification: Case Representation and Retrieval. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1181–9.
Gransberg, D D and Riemer, C (2009) Impact of Inaccurate Engineer’s Estimated Quantities on Unit Price Contracts. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1138–45.
Lee, H, Seo, J, Park, M, Ryu, H and Kwon, S (2009) Transaction-Cost-Based Selection of Appropriate General Contractor-Subcontractor Relationship Type. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1232–40.
Park, M, Ji, S, Lee, H and Kim, W (2009) Strategies for Design-Build in Korea Using System Dynamics Modeling. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1125–37.
Park, S H (2009) Whole Life Performance Assessment: Critical Success Factors. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1146–61.
Park, T, Kim, M K, Kim, C and Kim, H (2009) Interactive 3D CAD for Effective Derrick Crane Operation in a Cable-Stayed Bridge Construction. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1261–70.
San Cristóbal, J R (2009) Time, Cost, and Quality in a Road Building Project. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1271–4.
Wethyavivorn, P, Charoenngam, C and Teerajetgul, W (2009) Strategic Assets Driving Organizational Capabilities of Thai Construction Firms. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1222–31.
Zahraie, B and Tavakolan, M (2009) Stochastic Time-Cost-Resource Utilization Optimization Using Nondominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm and Discrete Fuzzy Sets. Journal of Construction Engineering and Management, 135(11), 1162–71.